Life beyond levels Analysing school performance using scaled

Life beyond levels Analysing school performance using scaled scores Paul Charman Managing Director, FFT Analysing performance using scaled scores The national picture: FFTs research & analysis Analysing your 2016 results Improving school performance in 2017 The national picture: How did we get here? 2016 KS2 national results (provisional) 80% 74% 70%

70% 66% 72% 60% 53% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 19% 17%

15% 23% 5% Reading Writing Maths %Expected GPS RWM % Higher FFT: Life Beyond Levels 2016 National KS2 Reading standards (19972016)

90 87 83 80 82 78 80 81 83 84 83 84

87 86 83 77 89 79 81 75 72 71 70 84

89 86 67 65 67 66 60 50 47 42 40 42 43

42 38 48 49 50 48 47 43 50 49 18 18

45 39 31 30 23 20 20 19 10 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 % Level 4+ (Reading) % Level 5+ (Reading) % New 2016 Expected Standard+ (Reading)

% Higher standard (Reading) % Level 4B+ (Reading) Pupil characteristics and the context of your school 2016 Gender attainment gaps 85% 80% 75% 70% +11% Gap +8% 70% 60% 81%

78% 0% 68% 65% +13% 70% 70% 67% +7% 62% 57% 55% 50% 50%

45% 40% Reading Writing Girls Maths GPS RWM Boys FFT: Life Beyond Levels 2016 Impact of month of birth % Expected Standard in

Rd, Wr & Ma 70% 65% 15% gap 60% 59% 55% 58% 57% 53% 55% 53%

50% 53% 51% 50% 49% 48% 45% 40% 47% 45% Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul

Aug Impact of both term of birth AND gender 70% 63 Girls born in % September Girls Boys 65% 21% gap 60% Boys born in 42 August % 55%

50% 45% 40% Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Impact of gender, term of birth AND disadvantage 80% 70% 60% 50% 69

63 % 57 % 53 % % 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 40% gap 53 50 % % 42

% 29 % Not FSM6 Born in Sept Girls FSM6 Born in Aug 1 2 Boys Closing the gap: disadvantaged pupils Reading attainment 105

105 104 104 103 103 102 101 102 100 101 99 100

98 97 Maths attainment 2015 FSM6 All analyses from 2016 Not FSM6 99 2015 FSM6 2016 Not FSM6

No significant change in the attainment gap between 2015 and 2016 Closing the gap: disadvantaged pupils Reading progress (VA) Maths progress (VA) 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 0 -0.2

-0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -0.6 -1 -0.8 2015 FSM6 All analyses from 2016

Not FSM6 2015 FSM6 2016 Not FSM6 The progress gap has increased by around 1/2 scaled score in 2016 to 1.1 (Reading) and 0.9 (Maths) School context and pupil progress 3 EAL 2 1 Not White Not

SEN Not FSM Girls Not White EAL Not mobile Boys Not FSM Not SEN

Not mobile 0 White Not EAL Boys White Mobile Girls FSM6 FSM6 Not EAL -2

Mobile Reading EAL Ethnicity FSM6 Gender Mobile EAL Ethnicity SEN FSM6

Gender -3 SEN SEN SEN Mobile -1 Maths All analyses from Floor and coasting standards Where is your school? Floor and coasting standard - Reading

2,000 schools Low progress High attainment 6,000 schools High progress High attainment 5,000 schools Low progress Low attainment 2,000 schools High progress Low attainment Schools at risk . (Regional) Reading Writing

Maths All analyses from Schools at risk (Ofsted) Outstanding Reading Writing Maths All analyses from Good Requires improvement Inadequate KS2 Writing

Reading vs Writing by LA (2016) School-level variation: reading & writing Whats changed in Aspire for 2016 results? FFT Aspire dashboards FFT Aspire School dashboard School leaders Governors Subject / key stage coordinators PDF dashboard For printing and use offline +

Interactive dashboard To explore data in more detail KS2 Overview report Overview report shows attainment & progress Compare your performance to the national average Significance indicated by green + and red - symbols Also shows where there has been a significant change in performance ( or ) KS2 Overview report Two progress options Value Added (VA) and Contextual Value Added (CVA)

We use DfE VA where available/applicable and FFT VA for other indicators Use CVA for a more realistic assessment of school Measuring pupil progress (KS2) DFE VA indicators Reading scaled score Maths scaled score GPS scaled score Additional FFT VA indicators % pupils achieving expected standard (RWM) % pupil achieving high standard (RWM) VA scaled score (reading, maths and GPS) % achieving expected standard (for each subject) % achieving high standard (for each subject) Example 1:

VA scaled score Example 2: % expected standard (RWM) Actual Expecte d VA School A 106.3 107.4 - 1.1 School B

105.8 105.3 + 0.5 Actual Expected VA School A 80% 85% - 5% School B

75% 71% + 4% KS2 Overview report (lower half) 3 highest performing groups (positive VA/CVA 3 lowest performing groups (negative VA/CVA KS2 Attainment & progress report Attainment & Progress Ranks Ranks range from 1 (highest) to 100 (lowest) Ranks from approx. 40 - 60 can be seen as average

KS2 Attainment & progress report Comparing results over time Scaled scores are based on mark distributions. By using distributions from 2014, 2015 and 2016, we can go backwards and compare results over time KS2 Attainment & progress report (lower half) Actual results and pupil progress for key subject and combined indicators KS2 Pupil Groups report Highest performin g groups

Use this report to compare the performance of pupil groups in your school Lowest performin g groups KS2 Subjects report Analysis of all subjects on a single page (useful summary for governors) KS2 Pupils report 3 4

5 6 7 8 FFT: Life Beyond Levels 2016 KS2 Attainment & progress report 3 4 + 4 Pupil result is higher than estimated (top 2025%) -4

Pupil result is lower than estimated (bottom 2025%) FFT: Life Beyond Levels 2016 Improving your performance in 2017 Set a target for each pupil at the end of KS1 and KS2 George Smith Richard J ones Gordon Adams Helen Edwards Monitor and track progress for each year group

Thank you www.fftaspire.org www.fft.org.uk www.educationdatalab.org.uk Email: [email protected] Telephone: 01446 776262 Twitter: @FFTEdu @EduDatalab

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